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Signals
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PaperMC/Paper

Establishedrank #92

The most widely used, high performance Minecraft server that aims to fix gameplay and mechanics inconsistencies

12.8k+72 · 7d 3.6k 130est. NOASSERTIONJavapushed 2h ago

Composite

67

conf 65%

Momentum

53

conf 60%

Vitality (PVI)

76

conf 67%

Community

62

conf 60%

Security & maint.

78

conf 85%

Ecosystem influence

72

conf 60%

Opportunity

62

conf 60%

Breakout · 7d

47%

conf 71%

Executive summary

Paper is currently classified as established with a composite score of 67/100. Momentum (53) and vitality (76) are aligned — growth is backed by sustained maintenance. Estimated 7-day gain of 72 stars against a 12.8k-star base. Risk is assessed as low; the interpretable model puts its probability of entering the top trend cohort within 7 days at 47%.

90-day trajectory

+301 · 30d
2026-08-012026-10-29

Score breakdown

Every input, weight and normalized value — nothing hidden. Inputs marked est. are estimated until the full ingestion pipeline lands.

Momentum

Star velocityest.25%52
Star accelerationest.15%51
Fork velocityest.10%42
Contributor growthest.10%82
Issue activity growthest.10%54
PR activity growthest.10%59
External mention velocityest.10%5
Release event impactest.5%89
Trending-rank persistenceest.5%71

Model tn-interpretable-1.0.0 · confidence 60% · coverage 100%

Project Vitality Index

Commit consistency20%100
Release cadenceest.15%93
PR responsivenessest.15%73
Issue responsivenessest.15%43
Contributor diversityest.10%78
Maintainer continuityest.10%63
Documentation qualityest.5%74
Dependency freshnessest.5%69
Security hygieneest.5%64

Model tn-interpretable-1.0.0 · confidence 67% · coverage 92% · missing: licenseClarity

Security & maintenance

Release recency25%100
License clarity20%30
Maintenance status25%100
Dependency stalenessest.15%72
Bus factorest.15%75

Model tn-interpretable-1.0.0 · confidence 85% · coverage 100%

Ecosystem influence

Dependent repositoriesest.30%87
Quality-weighted dependentsest.20%69
Documentation citationsest.15%63
Contributor overlapest.15%53
Registry adoptionest.10%47
Topic centralityest.10%100

Model tn-interpretable-1.0.0 · confidence 60% · coverage 92% · missing: packageRegistryAdoption